What is China's credit rating?
Singapore, December 05, 2023 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") today changed the outlook to negative from stable on China's government credit ratings while affirming China's A1 long-term local and foreign-currency issuer and senior unsecured ratings and the (P)A1 foreign-currency senior unsecured shelf rating.
In its announcement, Moody's affirmed that its current rating of China remains A1, several notches below the top level of Aaa, but still in the middle of what the agency considers "investment grade" debt. The United States is rated Aa1 by Moody's, one step below the top rating.
Some of the top examples include Australia, Canada, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, and Hong Kong. These are all countries that generally carry a credit rating of AAA.
China's ability to repay its government borrowing has been downgraded by the credit rating agency Moody's, which said the ripple effects from a crisis in the property sector would undermine efforts to revive its flagging economy.
Agency | Rating | Outlook |
---|---|---|
Moody's | A1 | Stable |
S&P | AA- | Negative |
Moody's | Aa3 | Negative |
DBRS | A (high) | Stable |
Debt as a share of GDP has risen to about the same level as in the United States, while in dollar terms China's total debt ($47.5 trillion) is still markedly below that of the United States (close to $70 trillion). As for non-financial corporate debt, China's 28 percent share is the largest in the world.
Moody's lowered the 'outlook' on China's A1 debt rating to "negative" from "stable" less than a month after it had done the same to the United States' last remaining triple-A grade from a credit rating agency.
Agency | Rating | Outlook |
---|---|---|
Moody's | Aaa | Stable |
S&P | AA+ | Stable |
DBRS | AAA | Stable |
S&P | AA+ | Negative |
Rating Agency | Rating | Action |
---|---|---|
Standard & Poor's | AAA | outlook upgrade |
Moody's Investors Service | Aaa | outlook upgrade |
Fitch Ratings | AAA | |
DBRS | AAA |
Home / Economy / Articles / What is the US credit rating, and what does its downgrade mean? On August 1, 2023, Fitch Ratings, one of the country's three major credit rating agencies, announced that it had downgraded the US credit rating from AAA to AA+.
How bad is China's debt?
Cities and provinces across the country have accumulated a massive amount of hidden debt following years of unchecked borrowing and spending. The International Monetary Fund and Wall Street banks estimate that the total outstanding off-balance-sheet government debt is around $7 trillion to $11 trillion.
China is facing the US financial crisis 'on steroids' as its real-estate market collapses, famed hedge-fund boss says. China's property-debt problem is worse than what the US faced in 2008, Kyle Bass said on CNBC. China's real-estate sector was too reliant on debt, and now many public developers are in default.
Agency | Rating | Outlook |
---|---|---|
S&P | BBB- | Stable |
DBRS | BBB (low) | Negative |
S&P | BBB- | Negative |
DBRS | BBB (low) | Stable |
China is the highest ranked country on two measures: economic relationships and diplomatic influence. China has consistently led the Index's ranking for economic relationships, reflecting its strong trade and investment ties with other countries in the region.
Field | Rank | Date |
---|---|---|
GDP (PPP) | 1 | 2023 |
GDP (PPP) per capita | 73 | 2023 |
GDP growth rate, 5.2% | 30 | 2023 |
Exports, $3,593,601,000,000 | 1 | 2022 |
Standard & Poor's credit rating for the United Kingdom stands at AA with stable outlook. Moody's credit rating for the United Kingdom was last set at Aa3 with stable outlook. Fitch's credit rating for the United Kingdom was last reported at AA- with negative outlook.
Consequences of Owing Debt to the Chinese
If China called in all of its U.S. holdings, the U.S. dollar would depreciate, whereas the yuan would appreciate, making Chinese goods more expensive.
Singapore is one of Asia's major financial centers. It is also one of the most prosperous countries on the planet. And all this has been achieved without taking on any meaningful public debt. In fact, very much like Norway, Singapore has more assets than debt.
Many people believe that much of the U.S. national debt is owed to foreign countries like China and Japan, but the truth is that most of it is owed to Social Security and pension funds right here in the U.S. This means that U.S. citizens own most of the national debt.
Sovereign Rating Model (SRM) and Qualitative Overlay (QO)
Fitch's proprietary SRM assigns France a score equivalent to a rating of 'AA-' on the Long-Term Foreign-Currency (LT FC) IDR scale.
What is the credit rating of Canada?
Canada is one of the few countries in the world with a AAA credit rating from at least two of the top global rating agencies.
China's social credit system gives individuals, businesses, and government entities a credit score based on their trustworthiness. A bad credit score comes with penalties like reduced access to credit and fewer business opportunities. Corporations seeking to fix a bad credit score must submit an application to do so.
While older models of credit scores used to go as high as 900, you can no longer achieve a 900 credit score. The highest score you can receive today is 850. Anything above 800 is considered an excellent credit score.
AAA Countries in Focus
Economies with the highest credit rating at S&P Global Ratings, Fitch and Moody's Investors Service include Germany, Denmark, Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Singapore and Australia. Canada is rated AAA by two of the ratings companies, per Bloomberg.
Only 1.31% of Americans with a FICO® Score have a perfect 850 credit score. While a score this high is rare among any demographic, older generations are more likely to have perfect credit.
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